交通运输系统工程与信息

交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2006, Vol. 6 ›› Issue (5): 59-64 .

• 系统工程理论与方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

公路超载运输治理与经济协调发展的系统动力学模型

何 杰1 ，魏 琳2 ，李旭宏1 ，杭 文1 ，毛海军1   

  1. 1．东南大学交通学院，南京210096；2．河南省交通科学技术研究院，郑州450005
  • 收稿日期:2006-02-05 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2006-10-20 发布日期:2006-10-20

System Dynamics Model on Harmonious Development between Highway Overloading Transportation Management and Economy

HE Jie1 ，WEi Lin2 ，LI Xu-hong 1，HANG Wen1 ，MA0 Hai-jun1   

  1. 1．Transportation College，Southeast University，Nanjing 210096，China；
    2．Henan Transportation Technology Academe，Zhengzhou 450005，China
  • Received:2006-02-05 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-10-20 Published:2006-10-20

PDF

被引次数

35

摘要： 论文运用系统工程原理和系统动力学方法，将复杂开放的公路货运超载运输大系统分成超载运输、超载治理与经济3个子系统分别进行描述和协调发展的系统动力学建模，构建超载治理子系统和经济子系统协调发展的总体因果关系图以及主要的正负反馈环，并以安徽省为对象运用STELLA软件构建了3个子系统的模型流程图，给出相关参数说明，进行了模型的仿真研究，完成安徽省未来30年治超投资比重的政策分析，得到最适宜的治超投资比重．

关键词: 国民收入, 超载运输, 超载危害, 超载治理, 系统动力学

Abstract: Based on the principle of system engineering and the method of system dynamics，this paper divides the big highway overloading transportation system into three subsystems，such as overloading transportation, over1oading management and economy．Total consequence charts and main positive and negative feedbacks of harmonious development between overloading management subsystem and economy subsystem are constructed. Taking Anhui province as the object，this paper sets up a model flow chart of the three subsystems by using STELLA software．It also presents related parameter instruction and does model simulation research. It accomplished policy analysis of investment proportion in overloading management in Anhui province in future 30 years and achieved the best investment proportion．

Key words: national income, overloading transportation, damages of overloading, overloading management, system dynamics