关键词: 经济圈, Nested-Logit模型, 交通方式划分, 疲劳恢复曲线

Abstract: With analysis of the influencing factors of traffic mode choice in economic circle, this paper developed a modal split Nested-Logit model including three indices as trip cost, travel time, and adaptability. The comfort levels of different traffic modes were described by the fatigue recovery time with calculation of the time values. Nested-Logit model is an improved and more practical model based on the multi-nomial Logit model, which considered the correlations among all the traffic modes, and could classify the similar traffic modes. A method of solving Nested-Logit model was proposed by analyzing the internal relation between the two models, which was direct and easy to operate. Thereafter, the validity and practicability of the proposed method were demonstrated by the examples of traffic modal split of several cities in the economic circle of Yangtze River Delta.

Key words: economic circle, Nested-Logit model, traffic modal split, fatigue recovery curve