交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2026, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (1): 340-350.DOI: 10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2026.01.031

• 工程应用与案例分析 • 上一篇    下一篇

社区-客流耦合视角下城市轨道交通网络脆弱性评估

谷远利*,武志磊,宇泓儒,杨澄璐   

  1. 北京交通大学,综合交通运输大数据应用技术交通运输行业重点实验室,北京100044
  • 收稿日期:2025-09-09 修回日期:2025-11-06 接受日期:2025-11-14 出版日期:2026-02-25 发布日期:2026-02-17
  • 作者简介:谷远利(1973—),男,辽宁海城人,教授,博士。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(41771478);北京市科技计划项目(Z121100000312101)。

Vulnerability Assessment of Urban Rail Transit Network from Perspective of Community-Passenger Flow Coupling

GU Yuanli*, WU Zhilei, YU Hongru, YANG Chenglu   

  1. Key Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive Transport, Ministry of Transport, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China
  • Received:2025-09-09 Revised:2025-11-06 Accepted:2025-11-14 Online:2026-02-25 Published:2026-02-17
  • Supported by:
    National Natural Science Foundation of China(41771478);Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Project (Z121100000312101)。

摘要: 为科学评估城市轨道交通网络脆弱性,保障城市交通系统安全、稳定及高效运行,本文提出一种融合交通社区结构和实际客流分布的网络脆弱性评估框架,弥补现有方法缺乏考虑社区结构特征的缺陷。首先,本文构建考虑换乘站影响力增强的改进Louvain算法(Transit-Enhanced Louvain,TEL)划分轨道交通网络社区,引入换乘边权重调节函数,动态优化社区划分的紧密性;其次,基于社区划分结果,设计以站点社区重要度、社区间重要度和社区内重要度为核心的节点社区性指标,将其与节点客流强度融合,构建累计综合重要度(Cumulative Comprehensive Importance, CCI),实现准确识别关键节点;最后,利用北京市城市轨道交通的真实数据集进行实例验证,从网络效率、相对连通子图和客流绕行比例3个方面,评估蓄意攻击下城市轨道交通网络的性能变化趋势。结果表明,当换乘站影响力增强系数为1.4时,TEL算法所得模块度最高为0.8223,优于其他基线模型;基于CCI指标的站点序列蓄意攻击,Top10%站点失效将导致全网网络效率下降78.1%,相对连通子图下降83.3%,客流绕行比例上升86%,网络失效效率显著高于传统方法,验证了本文模型的有效性,为识别网络关键节点及城市轨道交通系统韧性提升提供科学的决策依据。

关键词: 城市交通, 网络脆弱性评估, 关键节点识别, 城市轨道交通网络, 复杂网络理论, 社区结构

Abstract: To scientifically assess the vulnerability of urban rail transit networks and ensure the safe, stable and efficient operation of urban transportation systems, this paper proposes a network vulnerability assessment framework that integrates the structure of traffic communities and the actual distribution of passenger flow. It makes up for the deficiency of existing methods that fail to consider the characteristics of community structure. Firstly, an improved Louvain algorithm considering enhanced transfer station influence (Transit-Enhanced Louvain, TEL) is constructed to partition the rail transit network. By introducing a transfer edge weight adjustment function, the compactness of community partitioning is dynamically optimized. Secondly, based on the community partitioning results, node community indicators centered on inter-community importance, intra-community importance, and station community importance are designed. These indicators are integrated with node passenger flow intensity to construct the Cumulative Comprehensive Importance (CCI), thereby achieving accurate identification of key nodes. Finally, empirical verification is conducted using the real dataset from the urban rail transit network in Beijing. The performance variation trend of urban rail transit network under deliberate attacks is evaluated from three aspects: network efficiency, relative connected subgraph, and passenger flow detour ratio. The results show that when the influence enhancement coefficient of transfer station is 1.4, the maximum modularity obtained by the TEL algorithm reaches 0.822 3, which is better than other baseline models. For the deliberate attack on station sequences based on the CCI indicator, the failure of the top 10% stations leads to a 78.1% decrease in the overall network efficiency, an 83.3% decrease in the relative connected subgraph, and an 86% increase in the passenger flow detour ratio. The network failure efficiency is significantly higher than that of traditional methods, verifying the effectiveness of proposed framework in this study. This study thus provides a scientifically grounded decision-making basis for identifying pivotal nodes and enhancing the resilience of urban rail transit systems.

Key words: urban transportation, network vulnerability assessment, key nodes identification, urban rail transit network, complex network theory, community structure

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