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Impact of Weather on Travel OL Choice Behavior Through
Psychological Time Perception
YU Jiangxia, ZHU Siyue, WANG Xintong, LUO Taibo
2026, 26(2):
180-191.
DOI: 10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2026.02.017
As a key element of the external environment, weather conditions significantly shape the subjective perception of time of
travelers, and influence their travel decision-making behaviors. To capture the differences in psychological perception of time
under various weather conditions, this study integrates weather factors into a generalized travel cost framework to extend
traditional discrete choice models by relaxing the rational agent assumption. A perceived time function covering four stages—
access, waiting, in-vehicle travel, and egress—is proposed. Furthermore, it introduces an outdoor walking perception coefficient
and a passenger crowding index to quantify the changes in subjective time perception caused by weather-related impacts on
walking comfort and in-vehicle crowding. A travel choice model based on Cumulative Prospect Theory is developed. Using
commuting behavior in Xi'an as an empirical case, the model parameters are calibrated via a genetic algorithm, and travelers are
categorized into two groups: "socioeconomically advantaged family-oriented" and "socioeconomically disadvantaged mobile
oriented." The results indicate that the travel choice model based on Cumulative Prospect Theory yields superior predictive
accuracy, as it can more precisely capture the decision-making mechanisms of different population segments under various weather
conditions. Notably, individuals with higher socioeconomic status demonstrated a significant increase in their loss aversion
coefficient during adverse weather, exhibiting a strong tendency for loss avoidance. Conversely, under severe pollution conditions,
their risk preference coefficient showed an anomalous rise, reflecting a "responsibility-driven risk-taking" behavior motivated by
heightened health concerns. In contrast, the socioeconomically disadvantaged group maintains a high sensitivity to losses under
most weather conditions, demonstrating the characteristics of "economically driven" decision-making. However, under heavily
polluted weather, their risk preference decreases markedly, while the decision weight coefficient increases sharply, revealing a high
level of alertness to health risks and a capacity for rational risk assessment.
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