交通运输系统工程与信息

交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2004, Vol. 4 ›› Issue (1): 54-61 .

• 系统工程理论与方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

交通量与经济量弹性关系的系统分析

王晖1，贾元华2   

  1. 1.长安大学公路学院， 陕西 西安 710064； 2. 北京交通大学交通运输学院， 北京 100044
  • 收稿日期:2003-07-04 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2004-02-01 发布日期:2004-02-01

Analysis on the Correlation of Traffic Volume and Economy Quantity

WANG Hui1, JIA Yuan-hua2   

  1. (1. Chang-an University, Xi’an 710064, China; 2. Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China
  • Received:2003-07-04 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2004-02-01 Published:2004-02-01

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被引次数

50

摘要： 公路交通量预测是一项复杂的交通运输系统工程。交通量是社会系统中交通条件、经济及社会等诸多因素共同作用的结果。掌握上述要素对交通量的影响或作用强度及其规律对于科学准确地分析预测交通量，进行交通规划具有十分重要的意义。本文对大量统计数据的分析研究结果表明，随着我国经济的发展，公路交通量，特别是国、省道干线交通量与经济量相关性变得越来越密切，并且在时空分布上呈现出一定特征。

关键词: 公路交通量, 经济量, 弹性系数, 系统分析

Abstract: Highway traffic volume forcasting acts as a complex transport system engineering which is effected by many social condition such as transport qualifications, economic and social elements, et. The degree of influence and disciplinarian of the above factors on traffic volume are deeply related with transportation program establishment. Based on the abundant statistic analysis, the paper concludes that the traffic volume of national or provincial trunk-highway is becoming more and more related with the regional economy, which shows a certain character of the space-time distributing.

Key words: highway traffic volume, economy quantity, elasticity, system analysis