交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2011, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (2): 58-69.

• 系统工程理论与方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

技术发展包络法在未来动力传动技术方面的应用: Ford Otosan 公司的路线图模型研究

DAIM Tugrul*1, GERDSRI Nathasit2, KOCKAN Irmak3, KOCAOGLU Dundar1   

  1. 1. 波特兰州立大学,波特兰 97207,美国; 2. 玛希隆大学,曼谷 10400,泰国;3. 伊斯坦布尔技术大学, 伊斯坦布尔 34469,土耳其
  • 收稿日期:2010-04-19 修回日期:2010-09-27 出版日期:2011-04-28 发布日期:2011-05-10
  • 通讯作者: DAIM Tugrul
  • 作者简介:DAIM Tugrul(1967-),男,副教授.

Technology Development Envelope Approach for the Adoption of Future Powertrain Technologies: A Case Study on Ford Otosan Roadmapping Model

DAIM Tugrul1, GERDSRI Nathasit2, KOCKAN Irmak3, KOCAOGLU Dundar1   

  1. 1. Portland State University, Portland OR 97207, USA; 2. Mahidol University, Bangkok 10400, Thailand;3. Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul 34469, Turkey
  • Received:2010-04-19 Revised:2010-09-27 Online:2011-04-28 Published:2011-05-10
  • Contact: DAIM Tugrul

摘要: 工业、政府和学术界在研究与开发过程中已经开始采用技术路线图来确定其技术战略、寻找发展空间与机遇. 汽车产业正面临不断的技术突破与技术改进的激烈竞争中,应当具有与公司灵活目标相匹配的路线图,以便管理者能够根据技术改进的影响来及时重新评估和调整路线图. 本研究的重点是未来动力传动系统,根据不同的选择方式确定最可能的植入路线图,以达到提高动力系统效能的目标.

关键词: 系统工程, 动力系统, 技术评估, 技术预测, 技术规划, 土耳其

Abstract: Industry, government, and academia have started to adopt the technology roadmapping concept to setup their technology strategy, identify gaps and opportunities in their R&D activities. Automotive industry, facing fierce competition with continuous technological breakthroughs and improvements, should have roadmaps with respect to their company objectives that have flexible features so that organizations can reassess and adjust their roadmaps in a timely manner according to the impacts of the changes. This study focuses on future powertrain systems with the aim of defining the most probable implementation roadmap for the different alternatives to improve powertrain efficiency.

Key words: systems engineering, powertrain, technology assessment, technology forecasting, technology planning, Turkey

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