交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2020, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (3): 227-232.

• 案例分析 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于家庭属性差异的大学生出行方式选择行为研究

骆晨*1,李想2,钟林峰1,胡姗姗1   

  1. 1. 中国民用航空飞行学院空中交通管理学院,四川德阳 618307; 2.西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,成都 610031
  • 收稿日期:2019-11-20 修回日期:2020-03-27 出版日期:2020-06-25 发布日期:2020-06-28
  • 作者简介:骆晨(1989-),男,江西南昌人,讲师,博士.
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金/National Natural Science Foundation of China(61873216);中国民用航空局民航安全能力项目/ Civil Aviation Safety Capability Program of Civil Aviation Administration of China (AQ0242020);中国民用航空飞行学院面上项目/Project of China Civil Aviation Flight Academy(J2020-082).

Choice of Travel Mode for College Students Based on Family Attributes

LUO Chen1, LI Xiang2, ZHONG Lin-feng1, HU Shan-shan1   

  1. 1. College of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Deyang 618307, Sichuan, China; 2. School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China
  • Received:2019-11-20 Revised:2020-03-27 Online:2020-06-25 Published:2020-06-28

摘要:

为剖析家庭属性差异对大学生出行方式选择行为的影响,基于非集计理论,构建家庭属性差异的大学生出行选择多元Logit 模型. 根据四川省2 571 份大学生出行行为调查问卷,运用SPSS 软件标定模型参数,获取影响大学生出行选择的主要家庭属性因素,并进行敏感性分析. 结果表明:家庭平均年收入、经济净流对大学生出行方式选择有显著的影响;以航空运输为参考,家庭平均年收入、经济净流对公路运输方式选择的影响大于铁路运输;“祖辈替孙辈购买机票”的折扣票务形式可提高大学生选择航空出行的概率.

关键词: 综合交通运输, 出行方式, 非集计理论, 家庭属性, 经济净流

Abstract:

In order to analyze the influence of family attribute differences on college students' travel mode choice behavior, based on the disaggregate theory, a multivariate Logit model is constructed for college students' travel mode choice behavior. Based on the travel behavior surveys from 2 571 college studentsin Sichuan Province, the model parameters are calibrated using SPSS. The main family attribute factors affecting college students' travel choices are obtained, and the sensitivity analysis on the factorsis conducted. The results show that the average annual household income and economic net income have a significant impact on the choice of college students' travel modes. Compared with air transport, the average annual household income and economic net income have a greater impact on the choice of road transport and lower impact on rail transport. The discount ticketing form of grandparent purchasing tickets for their grandchildren can increase the probability that college students choose to travel by air.

Key words: integrated transportation, travel mode, non-aggregate theory, family attribute, economic net flow

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