面向新城的土地利用-交通整体规划建模方法

交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2021, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (3): 13-25.

• 综合交通运输体系论坛 • 上一篇下一篇

面向新城的土地利用-交通整体规划建模方法

钟鸣^{* 1a, 1b}，董一鸣^{1a, 1b}，汉特·道格拉斯^{1a, 2}，孙江涛^{1a, 1b}，马晓凤^{1a, 1b}，刘少博^{1a, 1b}，吴宁宁³

1. 武汉理工大学，a. 智能交通系统研究中心，b. 国家水运安全工程技术研究中心，武汉 430063； 2. 卡尔加里大学，土木工程系，卡尔加里 T2N 1N4，加拿大；3. 武汉市交通发展战略研究院，武汉 430017

收稿日期:2020-12-26 修回日期:2021-04-19 出版日期:2021-06-25 发布日期:2021-06-25
作者简介:钟鸣(1971- )，男，内蒙古赤峰人，教授，博士。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金/National Natural Science Foundation of China(51778510)；国家重点研究开发项目/National Key Research and Development Program of China(2018YFB1600900)。

Development of a New Town Planning Method Using an Integrated Land Use-transport Model

ZHONG Ming^{* 1a, 1b} , DONG Yi-ming^{1a, 1b} , HUNT John-douglas^{1a, 2} , SUN Jiang-tao^{1a, 1b}, MA Xiao-feng^{1a, 1b} , LIU Shao-bo^{1a, 1b} , WU Ning-ning³

1a. Intelligent Transport Systems Research Center, 1b. National Engineering Research Center for water Transportation Safety, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, China; 2. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Calgary, Calgary T2N 1N4, Canada; 3. Wuhan Transportation Development Strategy Research Institute, Wuhan 430017, China

Received:2020-12-26 Revised:2021-04-19 Online:2021-06-25 Published:2021-06-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

在城市高质量发展的背景下，大量城市新城的规划缺乏新城与主城协同的土地利用与交通系统的一体化规划，造成众多的不协调问题，如新城与主城间交通走廊拥堵和“鬼城”等。因此，本文基于新城、主城的土地利用与交通系统的交互关系，提出面向新城规划的城市土地利用- 交通整体规划模型建模方法。通过为主城与新城分别构建相应的宏观经济预测模块、社会经济活动空间分配模块和空间开发模块，客观地模拟主城与新城各种社会经济活动的空间分布、相应土地及空间开发、交通基础设施建设和交通需求时变等特征，同时兼顾新城与主城开发过程中的社会经济发展目标及土地空间制约条件，针对新城与主城两者之间的交互关系(如客货运输)对交通需求进行一体化预测，实现新城与主城、土地利用与交通系统的整体规划与协同。本文以武汉市长江新城为研究案例，基于相关数据构建面向新城和主城的 PECAS(Production-ExchangeConsumption-Allocation-System)土地利用与交通整体规划模型，分析并评价了其2015—2035年的土地利用形态及交通系统的平衡性，评价结果验证了本文建模方法的有效性。

关键词: 城市交通, 新城规划, 整体规划建模, 土地利用与交通, 交通需求预测

Abstract:

With the massive development of new towns in China, a large number of new towns have been planned with traditional planning methods, which usually plan“old town”and“new town”independently and lack the considerations of integrating land-use and transportation systems, and have resulted in many issues within the two (such as traffic congestion at“old town”and“new town”corridors and“ghost town”). Therefore, based on the strong interaction between the land use and transportation system of the“old town”and the“new town”, this paper proposes an integrated land-use transport modeling method for closing the gap within the existing new town planning process. By developing a macroeconomic forecasting module, Activity allocation (AA) module, and Space Development (SD) module independently for the two counterparts, the activity totals and its allocation, required land/space supply are predicted and simulated for the old town and the new town area separately, whereas the transportation demand of the two is simultaneously modeled. Such a method has achieved a more objective simulation of the path- dependent characteristics of the new town development process, while taking into account the socio-economic development target and land space constraints in the development of the new town and the old town. This paper takes the Yangtze River New Town (YRNT) of the City of Wuhan as the case study and an integrated land use transport model for the entire City of Wuhan (including both new and old town) is developed and applied to the case study. The coordination of the land use and transport system of the new town is also numerically accessed from the year 2015 to 2035. Study results clearly show that the proposed modeling method is feasible and practical.

Key words: urban traffic, new town planning, integrated land use-transportation modeling (ILUTM), land-use and transport, traffic demand forecast

中图分类号:

U121

钟鸣, 董一鸣, 汉特·道格拉斯, 孙江涛, 马晓凤, 刘少博, 吴宁宁. 面向新城的土地利用-交通整体规划建模方法[J]. 交通运输系统工程与信息, 2021, 21(3): 13-25.

ZHONG Ming, DONG Yi-, HUNT John-douglas, SUN Jiang-tao, MA Xiao-feng, LIU Shao-bo, WU Ning-ning. Development of a New Town Planning Method Using an Integrated Land Use-transport Model[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2021, 21(3): 13-25.

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面向新城的土地利用-交通整体规划建模方法

Development of a New Town Planning Method Using an Integrated Land Use-transport Model

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