交通运输系统工程与信息

交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2002, Vol. 2 ›› Issue (1): 82-86 .

• 交通系统重大专题论述 • 上一篇    下一篇

交通运输业与国民经济发展的实证研究

刘建强1， 何景华2   

  1. 1.上海财经大学,上海200083; 2.上海海运学院, 上海200135
  • 收稿日期:2001-11-12 修回日期:2002-01-22 出版日期:2002-02-01 发布日期:2002-02-01

Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between Transportation
Industry and the National Economy

LIU Jian-qiang1 , HE Jing-hua2   

  1. 1.Shanghai Financial and Economic University. Shanghai 200083. China
    2.Shanghai Maritime University. Shanghai 200135. China
  • Received:2001-11-12 Revised:2002-01-22 Online:2002-02-01 Published:2002-02-01

PDF

被引次数

169

摘要： 主要从协整关系.Granger因果关系的检验入手.对交通运输业与国民经济的关系进行
了实证研究.结果表明:货运量与GDP之间具有长期均衡关系,交通运输业能带动整个国民经
济的发展.

关键词: ADF检验, 协整, 因果关系

Abstract:

Based on the theory of Co-integration and granger causal relationship, this paper tests the Co-integration and granger causal relationship between transportation and the national
economy. The results shows that there is a long term equilibrium between freight traffic and GDP., and transportation can spur on the development of the national economy.

Key words: ADF test, Co-integration, causal relationship