交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2010, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (4): 79-85 .

• 系统工程理论与方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于动态信息反馈的日常出行决策模拟研究

田丽君;黄海军*;刘天亮   

  1. 北京航空航天大学 经济管理学院,北京 100191
  • 收稿日期:2009-10-26 修回日期:2009-12-30 出版日期:2010-08-25 发布日期:2010-08-25
  • 通讯作者: 黄海军
  • 作者简介:田丽君(1981-),女,山西省五台县人,博士生.
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金(70521001,70901046);国家重点基础研究发展规划(2006CB705503);北京航空航天大学博士研究生创新基金(CXJJ200938).

Day-To-Day Route Choice Decision Simulation Based on Dynamic Feedback Information

TIAN Li-jun;HUANG Hai-jun;LIU Tian-liang   

  1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100191, China
  • Received:2009-10-26 Revised:2009-12-30 Online:2010-08-25 Published:2010-08-25
  • Contact: HUANG Hai-jun

摘要: 实际道路系统中,交通个体的日常出行决策是一个长期的演化过程,出行者根据出行经验和获取的路径信息确定行驶路线. 考虑有装置和无装置两类用户,在时间反馈策略和平均速度反馈策略下对出行者的出行效率进行了讨论分析. 仿真结果表明,出行者对历史经验的依赖程度决定系统的演化效率. 两类出行者的出行效率均随出行需求增加而减小,随历史经验依赖性增加而先增加然后趋于稳定,并且随市场渗透率的增加,在不同信息策略下表现出相反的趋势. 一般来说,有装置出行者具有较少的行驶时间,且在速度反馈策略下效果明显,两类用户的出行效率差距随着时间的演化有减小的趋势.

关键词: 城市交通, ATIS市场渗透率, 日常路径出行, 元胞自动机, 信息反馈策略

Abstract: In reality, the individual’s day-to-day route choice behavior is a long-time evolution process, and travelers choose their traveling routes according to the combination of historical experience and real-time traffic information. Considering two classes of users, one equipped with advanced traveler information systems (ATIS) and the other without, this paper investigates the travel efficiency under two different information feedback strategies, namely, travel time feedback strategy and mean velocity feedback strategy. The simulation results given by the cellular automaton model show that the more users rely on historical experience, the quicker the system evolves to the equilibrium. To all users, the travel efficiency decreases with travel demand and firstly increases then decreases with the dependent degree to historical experience. However, as far as the ATIS market penetration rate is concerned, the users’ travel efficiency under two feedback strategies exhibits different trends. The equipped travelers have shorter travel time, particularly under mean velocity feedback strategy. In addition, the difference of travel efficiencies between two classes of users decreases as days evolve.

Key words: urban traffic, ATIS market penetration, day-to-day route travel behavior, cellular automaton, information feedback strategy

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