交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2015, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (4): 31-37.

• 综合交通运输体系论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

公路交通与经济发展空间相关性及收敛性分析

于江霞*1,海猛1,韩少华2   

  1. 1. 西安电子科技大学经济与管理学院,西安710071;2. 西安通信学院综合训练系,西安710061
  • 收稿日期:2015-01-22 修回日期:2015-05-01 出版日期:2015-08-25 发布日期:2015-08-25
  • 作者简介:于江霞(1976-),女,山东潍坊人,副教授,博士.
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目(71103137);陕西省社会科学基金项目(11Q049);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(K5051306008);陕西省社科界重大理论与现实问题研究项目(2014Z030).

Spatial Correlation and Convergence between Highway and Economic Development in China

YU Jiang-xia1,HAI Meng1,HAN Shao-hua2   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Xidian University, Xi’an 710071, China; 2. Department of Comprehensive Training, Xi'an Communication Institute, Xi’an 710061, China
  • Received:2015-01-22 Revised:2015-05-01 Online:2015-08-25 Published:2015-08-25

摘要:

为描述公路交通设施的空间分布状态,评价其与经济发展的空间相关效应,引入空间计量经济学分析中国公路交通设施的空间相关性和收敛性,探讨其与区域经济发展的关系.结果表明,中国公路交通设施在空间上存在显著的空间自相关性,且显著性不断增强,呈现出明显的空间集聚特征,东部沿海地区及中部的长江流域地区聚集程度高,西部聚集程度低,东西差异明显;我国公路交通设施不存在α 收敛和绝对β 收敛,而引入控制变量后,存在条件β 收敛并显著,说明我国公路交通设施发展还取决于其他影响因素;公路交通设施和区域经济发展在空间上呈现正相关并高度显著,显著性高的地方主要集中在川、云、贵地区;我国区域经济发展不存在α 收敛和绝对β 收敛,而引入控制变量后,条件β 收敛显著.说明公路交通设施的发展能够促进区域经济发展.

关键词: 公路运输;空间相关性;空间计量经济学;交通基础设施, 收敛性

Abstract:

The spatial econometrics theory and method is applied to analysis the spatial difference and correlation between highway and economic development in China. The conclusions are that, there is obvious spatial correlation and convergence between highway and economic development in China. The significance of it becomes more and more strength and has a striking spatial aggregation. The aggregation degree of eastern coastal area and central area of the Yangtze River is much higher than the West of China, and has significant difference between them. Highway traffic infrastructure do not have sigma convergence and absolute beta convergence. But when applies in control variable, it has significant conditional beta convergence. Highway traffic infrastructure and the regional economy development have highly significant positive spatial correlation. And the significant high place mainly in Sichuan, Yunnan and Guizhou. The regional economic development has no sigma convergence and absolute beta convergence, but has obvious conditional beta convergence. It illustrates that the development of highway transportation infrastructure can promote the regional economic development.

Key words: highway transportation, spatial correlation, spatial econometrics, transportation infrastructure, convergence

中图分类号: