交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2016, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (1): 92-98.

• 系统工程理论与方法 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于计划行为理论的竞争驾驶行为建模0

李鹏飞1,石建军*1,刘小明1,2   

  1. 1.北京工业大学交通工程北京市重点实验室,北京100124;2.中华人民共和国交通运输部,北京100736
  • 收稿日期:2015-07-17 修回日期:2015-12-07 出版日期:2016-02-25 发布日期:2016-02-25
  • 作者简介:李鹏飞(1989-),男,河南济源人,博士
  • 基金资助:

    北京市教育委员会重点项目/Key Projects of Beijing Municipal Education Commission(KZ20151005007).

Modeling of Competitive Driving Behavior Based on Theory of Planned Behavior

LI Peng-fei1,SHI Jian-jun1,LIU Xiao-ming1,2   

  1. (1. Key Laboratory of Traffic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China; 2. Ministry of Transport of the People's Republic of China, Beijing 100736, China)
  • Received:2015-07-17 Revised:2015-12-07 Online:2016-02-25 Published:2016-02-25

摘要:

为获取竞争驾驶行为的潜变量因子,分析驾驶员竞争驾驶行为的产生动机.对 225 名驾驶员进行了网上问卷调查,通过主成分分析和验证性因子分析提取竞争驾驶行 为的4 个潜变量因子:速度领先、空间占用、路权争夺和空间领先争夺.基于计划行为理 论,构建了竞争驾驶意图与行为关系结构方程模型.研究表明,驾驶员的竞争驾驶态度、主 观标准、知觉行为控制等心理因素和社会环境外界因素,通过行为意向能够很好地对竞 争驾驶行为进行预测.社会环境因素对竞争驾驶意图有显著影响,为驾驶员竞争驾驶行为 的矫正提供了有效途径.

关键词: 城市交通, 计划行为理论, 结构方程模型, 竞争驾驶行为, 社会环境

Abstract:

This paper aims to investigate the dimensionality of drivers’behaviors and analyze the motives of competitive driving behavior. Data are collected from a self- reported questionnaire completed by 225 drivers on the internet. Principal component analysis (PCA) and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) are used to analyze the underlying factor structure. Four latent factors are derived, including speed advantage, space occupation, contention over the right- of- way, and space advantage. Structural equation modeling is established to explain the correlation between drivers’attitude and driving behavior based on Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB). Results indicate that competitive driving behavior could be predicted by the combination of attitudes, subjective norm, control of perceived behavior, and social environment through the medium of behavior intention. A high correlation between the dimensions of social environment and intention is observed. This is an effective way to rectify the competitive driving behavior.

Key words: urban traffic, theory of planned behavior, structural equation modeling, competitive driving behavior, social environment

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