交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2019, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (2): 247-254.

• 系统工程理论与方法 • 上一篇    

节假日公路免费政策下城际交通行为特性

林小梅,邵春福*,董春娇,王晟由   

  1. 北京交通大学 综合交通运输大数据应用技术交通运输行业重点实验室,北京 100044
  • 收稿日期:2018-10-23 修回日期:2018-12-02 出版日期:2019-04-25 发布日期:2019-04-25
  • 作者简介:林小梅(1990-),女,福建泉州人,博士生.
  • 基金资助:

    中央高校基本科研业务经费专项资金/The Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (2017JBZ106, 2017YJS089);河北省自然科学基金/ The Hebei Natural Science Foundation (E2016513016).

The Behavior Characteristics of Inter-city Travel under the Implication of Expressway Toll-free Policy during Holiday

LIN Xiao-mei, SHAO Chun-fu, DONG Chun-jiao, WANG Sheng-you   

  1. Key Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive Transport, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China
  • Received:2018-10-23 Revised:2018-12-02 Online:2019-04-25 Published:2019-04-25

摘要:

由于缺乏对节假日城际出行行为及节假日高速公路免费政策实施效果的深入研究,导致一些政策产生了负面影响,造成高速公路严重拥堵.本文结合 2017年春节调查数据,构建并估计分层 Logit模型,研究节假日高速公路免费政策下城际交通方式和出发日期联合选择的行为特性.基于模型结果,采用弹性分析研究不同免费日期下出行者行为特性,并通过场景仿真评价多种免费时段设置方案对城际交通出行结构和高峰日交通量的影响.结果表明,出行结构和高峰日交通量对不同免费日期的敏感度不同,有必要对免费时段设置进行讨论.推荐分时优惠政策,在有效调整出行结构的情况下,能避免加剧高峰日的交通拥堵.

关键词: 综合交通运输, 高速公路免费政策, 分层 Logit模型, 节假日城际交通, 交通方式选择, 出发日期选择

Abstract:

Charge reduction measurements on existing toll roads are widely implemented to promote an efficient use of the expressways and to reduce congestion on the public transit networks during public holidays. However, some measurements have negative effects. A deep understanding of how the policy affects intercity traveling behavior is critical for better policymaking. This paper aims to investigate the behavior characteristics of joint mode and departure date choice under the implication of expressway toll- free policy. A nested Logit model is developed and estimated based on survey data during the Chinese Spring Festival holiday in 2017. The policy impact is further discussed by elasticity and scenario simulations. The results indicate that the expressway toll-free on different dates have very different effect on modal splits, as well as on car volume of rush days. Policy coordination regarding toll-free period is needed to ensure a significant effect on raising car share and reduce the road traffic congestion at the same time. The time- differential toll- free policy is recommended rather than the current toll-free policy or extending/shortening the toll-free period.

Key words: integrated transportation, expressway toll-free policy, Nested Logit model, intercity travel during the holiday, travel mode choice, departure date choice

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