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    Decision-making Forum
    Future Urban Traffic and its Influence on Cities Development
    PENG Hong-qin, ZHANG Guo-wu
    2020, 20(1): 2-5. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (288KB) ( )  

    Internet of things, big data and artificial intelligence accelerate the intelligent development of transportation. New technology and new concept are rapidly changing travel behavior, traffic pattern and traffic shape. The development of transportation technology has an important impact on the mode, efficiency and safety of traffic, and relationship between supply and demand. The 56th conference of“Traffic and Transportation 7+1 Forum”sets its theme as“Future Urban Traffic and its Influence on Cities Development”. It introduces the future technology and development of transportation, shows that big data and cloud computing can improve the level of traffic planning and management, and support the construction of intelligent governance platform. It discusses the connotation of high-quality demand for future transportation service, and main direction of improving transportation service quality. It also introduces the methods and progress of road safety based on sociology and human factorsengineering.

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    Multi-objective Pricing of High-speed Railway Passenger Tickets Based on Epsilon-constraint Method
    LI Xue-mei, CAO Hui-zhuo
    2020, 20(1): 6-11. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (343KB) ( )  

    High-speed rail (HSR) ticket pricing is a multi-objective pricing problem. It not only ensures passenger welfare, but also increases the operator's reasonable profits. Considering passenger differences and multimode competition in different lengths of haul, this paper took profit and passenger welfare as HSR's objectives and discussed the optimal HSR ticket pricing solutions. It built a bi-level programming model combining with the epsilon-constraint method, extracted the multi-objective problems according to lexicographic techniques and designed a relaxation algorithm to derive the Nash equilibrium. Corresponding target values are used to plot the Pareto frontier and optimal pricing was determined. The results from computational experiments show the following findings: First, multi- objective solutions are more suitable for pricing reform because of their smaller fluctuation in price and quantity of passengers and improvements of performance; Second, short-haul tickets and time-sensitive passenger tickets are likely to increase even higher; Third, the competition of multi-mode transportation affects pricing implementation. The innovation is to apply the epsilon-constraint method to solve the multi-objective HSR ticket pricing. The proposed pricing method helps to optimize the interests of operators and passengers and provides thoughts for HSR ticket pricing for railway operator.

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    Forum about Comprehensive Transportation System
    Influence Scope of Cascading Failure on Rail Transit System
    XIONG Zhi-hua, YAO Zhi-sheng
    2020, 20(1): 12-18. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (486KB) ( )  

    Passenger aggregation, station congestion and congestion spread in the rail transit system infect by multiple factors and lead to cascading failure that means congestion spread to the whole network. To estimate the congestion propagation range of rail transit is an effective way to reduce the impact of uncertainty. The coupled map lattices (CML) model was proposed in this paper. Based on the principle of congestion propagation on rail transit system, the parameters such as physical structure, the initial transportation states and the volume of passenger flow, were combined into CML model and obtained by the historical passenger flow data. Three scenes were discussed under different parameters combinations. It can be shown that the initial states and coupling coefficient have significant influence on the range of congestion propagation. The range has no significant relation with the physical structure. The scale and range of congestion station can be obtained through CML model with the respondent network, initial states and coupling coefficients. It is benefic for improving the reliability of rail transit system.

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    Impact on Land Price of Urban Rail Transit Line Linking Town to Town
    LI Jun-fang, LIU Zhi-gang, HU Hua
    2020, 20(1): 19-26. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (572KB) ( )  

    To explore the feasibility of introducing urban rail transit lines linking the new towns (LTT), the paper researches the impact on land price of LTT. Compare the average value in and out of the service area in announcement, construction and operation periods to evaluate whether the value uplift or not for LTT, taking the lines liking the new town to the CBD (LTC) as the benchmark. Then the difference in difference model (DID) is used to analyze the pattern. Case study of Tokyo shows LTT could add to the land value, however the uplift is lower than LTC. The pattern is as follows: LTC are expected extremely to link to the CBD of the city in announcement period; value uplift by one time saving of LTC are all lower than LSS except the announcement period. The value uplift by one time saving goes down as time goes on. For LTC, it goes down more rapidly than LTT. It means stability of value uplift for LTC is lower than LTT. Stability of value uplift by one time saving to the new town is more than that to CBD for LTC. Stability of value uplift by one time saving to CBD is more than that to satellite city for LTT. Value uplift in every distance band of service area in announcement period goes down by distance decay. The results supply a quantifying evidence for decision-maker.

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    Revealing Difference of Shippers' Choice Behavior under Different Spatio-temporal Conditions
    ZHU Li-chao, LIU Zhao-ran
    2020, 20(1): 27-32. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (318KB) ( )  

    The influence of a factor on shippers' choice behavior changes with space and time. However, most existing studies pay attention to shippers' choice behavior in specific space or period, with less focus on the horizontal (space) and vertical (time) comparison. To explore behavioral difference and shippers' choice change, five datasets of different space and time are collected, and several multinomial Logit models and mixed Logit models with linear or non-linear utility function are constructed. Results show that, from the perspective of space, choice behavior of shippers from one region is significantly different from that of shippers from other regions; from the perspective of time, with the rapid development of freight industry, the service life of freight mode choice model has a shortened trend.

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    Intelligent Transportation System and Information Technology
    Queueing Process Sensing and Prediction at Intersection Based on Video
    YU Zhi, HUANG Liu-hong, LI Xi-ying, LI Bo, ZOU Bing
    2020, 20(1): 33-39. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (494KB) ( )  

    Queueing process consisting of queueing, accumulation, and disappearing phase plays a very important role for the analysis and optimization of traffic management and signal controls. However, most of existing methods are lack of detailed sensing and correlation between different queue stages, which leads to uncomprehensive and rough detection in traffic parameters. In this paper, we present a video- based method, by sensing in stages first and correlating later to sense and predict queueing process. Firstly, the detection algorithm of objects and edges are adopted to obtain information of road and vehicle. Secondly, fusing road information and vehicle edges to detect queueing area and queueing length. Finally, reconstructing vehicle trajectory by sensing and correlating different queue stages, which are divided by queueing area. On this basis, the various parameters are calculated with vehicle trajectory, and the experimental results show that the reconstruction accuracy reaches 95.7% when there are no detection errors, in addition, proposed method is robust in detecting various traffic parameters in practical applications.

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    Driving Behavior Recognition and Intention Prediction of Adjacent Preceding Vehicle in Highway Scene
    ZHANG Hai-lun, FU Rui
    2020, 20(1): 40-46. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (495KB) ( )  

    The driving behavior of the adjacent preceding vehicle in highway scene will have an impact on the vehicles behind. Advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) should be equipped with the ability to recognize the lane changing behavior of the adjacent preceding vehicle. In this paper, the lane change behavior of adjacent preceding vehicle in highway scene was studied, the behavior recognition model and intention prediction model based on the two-layer continuous Hidden Markov Model-Bayesian generation classifier (CHMM-BGC) and the Bi- directional long short time memory network (Bi-LSTM) were proposed, respectively. The validity of the models was tested and verified using a natural driving data set. Experimental analysis shows that the average recognition rate of the behavior recognition model based on Bi-LSTM is 11.24% higher than that of two layers CHMM-BGC. Both behavioral recognition models can recognize lane change behavior of the adjacent preceding vehicle in the early stages of lane change process. Considering the interaction between the adjacent preceding vehicle and surrounding vehicles, the model can be predictive. Both intention prediction models can predict the driver's lane change intention before the lane change moment of the vehicle. The model simulation time satisfies the real-time requirement of the system. It can reserve the reaction time for the driver and provide support for the prediction of the surrounding vehicle trajectory research.

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    A Track Occupancy Identification Approach Based on Bayesian Modeling
    GUO Zi-ming, CAI Bai-gen, JIANGWei,WANG Jian, SHANGGUANWei
    2020, 20(1): 47-53. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (441KB) ( )  

    The identification of the present track is an essential applications of train control systems. This paper presents a track occupancy identification approach based on Bayesian modeling with the aid of a digital track map. Firstly, map matching is performed considering the direction-dependent GNSS standard deviation while velocity measurements are processed using Kalman filtering. The longitudinal train position is obtained by fusing GNSS and velocity information by means of weighted averaging. Then a Bayesian model is built for hypotheses of the train position and the probabilities of all possible hypotheses given specific GNSS and velocity measurements are calculated. Finally, the probabilities are compared with a defined threshold. Moreover, the identification results are classified. The experimental results show that the track occupancy identification approach based on Bayesian modeling can reduce the distance to eliminate hypotheses with negligible probabilities. Compared to an orthogonal projection algorithm, this approach is more confident in the determination of the track that the train takes.

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    Car-following Response Delay Time Survival Analysis Based on Stratified COX Model
    ZHANG Yan-ning, GUO Zhong-yin, GAO Kun,SUN Zhi
    2020, 20(1): 54-60. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (359KB) ( )  

    Driver's response delay time is one of the key parameters in the car- following behavior analysis and microscope car-following model. Experiments were conducted to collect naturalistic car-following behavior data. The Kaplan-Meier based univariate analysis method and delay time stratified COX model are employed to examine the influences of vehicle kinetic characteristics and lighting condition on drivers' response delay time. The results indicate that driver's response delay time during car- following process is statistical related with front vehicle's acceleration rate and its changing status. Acceleration of front vehicle does not satisfy the PH (Proportional Hazard) hypothesis, which means its influences on response delay time is related with time series. The results from stratified COX models demonstrate that the delay time's hazard function value decreases by 6.03% for every 10 m increase in the spacing between front and following vehicles, When front vehicle shift from variable motion to uniform motion, the delay time's hazard function value decreases by 35.39% . The result provides quantitative relation between delay time and influencing factors, which can be used in parameter optimization of car-following model and microscope traffic simulation.

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    Lane Changing Behavior Identification of Urban Road Based on GMM-CHMM
    XU Ting, WEN Chang-lei, ZHANG Xiang, LI Bao-wen,WANG Jian, ZHANG Ya-kun
    2020, 20(1): 61-67. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (367KB) ( )  

    Advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) is one of the active safety systems to improve the safety of occupants in vehicles. In this paper, an urban road lane changing behavior identification model that can be applied to ADAS was proposed by combining vehicle parameters and vehicle position parameters. The experiment was carried out in the urban road environment of Xi'an, where 9 on-board real-time parameters data of 18 drivers as well as the relative speed, relative distance and relative angle between the front and rear vehicles were collected. 412 lane changing behavior units and 824 lane keeping behavior units were extracted, with a total of 88 992 data. The analysis of mathematical statistics shows that there is significant difference between steering wheel angle, steering angle velocity and relative safe distance ratio between lane changing behavior and lane keeping behavior. An identification model is established on the basis of these 3 features parameters and identification model is a mixture of Gaussian mixed model (GMM) and Continuous Hidden Markov Model (CHMM). Some samples are used to evaluate the effectiveness of identification model. The results show that the identification accuracy of the hybrid model is 93.6%, which has a good effect and can be applied to ADAS well.

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    High-resolution Remote Sensing Image Road Extraction Based on Multi-mark Pixel Matching
    YANG Yun, LI Yu, ZHAO Quan-hua
    2020, 20(1): 68-74. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (558KB) ( )  

    Aiming at the problem of incomplete and mis- extraction of road extraction methods for highresolution remote sensing image, a high-resolution remote sensing image road extraction method based on multimark pixel matching is proposed. The image to be extracted is converted from RGB color space to Lab color space, and the hue feature that is weakly related to the illumination intensity is selected as the initial matching term. Different type of roads is marked by drawing rectangular boxes, and the outliers of the matching items are eliminated by t-test, so as to determine the threshold to match the road pixels, and the matching results are filtered by local texture operator. The matching results are optimized by using the morphological features of the road region. In order to verify the feasibility and superiority of the proposed method, the high-resolution remote sensing images obtained by different sensors were tested, and compared with the existing road extraction methods. The qualitative and quantitative accuracy evaluation results show that the proposed method has higher accuracy for different types of road extraction.

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    Traffic State Identification of Intersection Based on Semi-supervised Hash Algorithm
    ZHANG Li-li,WANG Li, ZHAO Qi, ZHANG Ling-yu
    2020, 20(1): 75-82. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (472KB) ( )  

    Accurate identification of traffic conditions at intersections is a prerequisite for implementing effective traffic control strategies. Traditional traffic state identification method, the state identification is realized by using statistical data design indicators such as occupancy rate and queuing. The traffic state can only describe the traffic demand of the intersection from a single angle. This paper proposes a traffic state recognition method based on semi-supervised hash algorithm. Firstly, starting from the rich features of the original data, the image model of the effective detection area of the intersection is constructed. Secondly, the traffic state recognition of the intersection is transformed into the image search problem, and the supervised hash algorithm is used to realize the image search based on the partial label information. The traffic state of the intersection is obtained. Finally, the method is verified by simulation. The results show that the proposed method is feasible and effective in recognition accuracy and speed.

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    Fine Division and Identification of Urban Traffic Status Based on Multi-source Trajectory Data
    WU Qun-yong, HU Zhen-hua, ZHANG Hong
    2020, 20(1): 83-90. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (576KB) ( )  

    Considering the shortcomings of urban traffic status analysis method based on road segments, this paper proposes a fine division and identification method of urban traffic status by using bus and taxi trajectory data, realizing the urban traffic status analysis. Firstly, the velocity and spatial position values of trajectory points are normalized separately, which are used as attribute data, trajectory points are clustered by iteratively calculating contour coefficients to determine k values , and the clusters are split and merged to divide road traffic status according to the proposed cluster quadratic processing method. Next, a multi- source data fusion method is established at the feature level to calculate the traffic status speed value. Finally, the sample is divided into four categories corresponding to four urban traffic flow status levels by clustering with attribute data of the normalized velocity value. The experimental results show that the proposed method can realize the fine division of road traffic status and effectively identify the traffic status of different locations of a road, which can provide decision support for urban road traffic management.

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    Fuel Consumption Analysis of Automated Driving Traffic Flow Based on Vehicle Specific Power
    QIN Yan-yan,WANG Hao, HE Zhao-yi, RAN Bin
    2020, 20(1): 91-96. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (343KB) ( )  

    Fuel consumption has a direct relationship with energy conservation and vehicle exhaust emissions. This paper explores the impacts of automated vehicles on the fuel consumption. The manual driving platoon and automated driving platoon were considered as the objective in numerical simulations, which were performed in the environment of traffic oscillations. Additionally, parameter sensitivity analyses of vehicle number, initial speeds, and vehicle-to-vehicle communication delay of automated vehicles were also conducted in simulations. Then, the vehicle-specific power-based evaluation model of fuel consumption was used to calculate the reduction of average fuel consumption rate by automated driving compared with manual driving. Meanwhile, from the perspective of traffic flow stability, the intrinsic relevance between fuel consumption reduction and stability state transition was evaluated. The results show that reduction magnitudes of fuel consumption by automated vehicles have relation with initial speeds of vehicular platoon. Moreover, there is qualitative influence relationship between fuel consumption reduction and traffic flow stability. This means the stable vehicular flow has benefits in significantly improving the reduction magnitude of fuel consumption, which can be used for providing theoretical reference for fuel control strategy, under the background of large-scale automated vehicles.

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    Systems Engineering Theory and Methods
    Willingness to Pay and Willingness to Accept Asymmetry of Subway Passengers
    CHEN Xin, LUO Xia, LIU Chun-yu, LIU Yong-hong
    2020, 20(1): 97-103. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (423KB) ( )  

    Willingness to pay (WTP) and Willingness to accept (WTA) are important input parameters for transit system service optimization and evaluation. However, the existing researches and demonstrations on the subway system have not considered the asymmetry between these two parameters. This paper based on the SP route choice survey data dedicated to Chengdu Metro. Based on discrete choice method, variation models are established and estimated, such as symmetrical non- heterogeneity model, asymmetrical non- heterogeneity model, symmetrical heterogeneity model, asymmetrical heterogeneity model. Individual and overall level WTP and WTA indicators of four attributes derived from above-mentioned models are compared. The results show that the asymmetry between the willingness to pay and the willingness to accept are reflected in both size of overall level and population heterogeneity. The parameter distribution hypothesis of asymmetrical heterogeneity model has an obvious influence on the WTP and the WTA estimation.

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    Cross-regional Customized Bus Path Planning Based on Q-learning
    PENG Li-qun, LUO Ming-bo, LU He, BAI Yue-long
    2020, 20(1): 104-110. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (471KB) ( )  

    This paper investigates a customized transit scheduling strategy for urban residents commuting across multiple regions with comprehensively considering the demand of massive urban commuters, as well as the characteristics of transit passenger density and flow in urban network. The Q- learning reinforcement learning improved method is applied to optimize the bus route. Through the integrated road congestion status, passenger demand and residential area location, the reward and punishment function of Q-learning reinforcement learning is set, and the linear coefficient, full load rate and transit time of the customized bus area path are improved. The results show that the proposed improved method can reduce the travel time of commuters across regions, and effectively improve the efficiency of customized bus lines during peak hours.

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    Children's School Travel Mode Choice Considering Customized Travel
    HAO Jing-jing, ZHANG Ling, WU Xiao-long, YANG Xiao-quan, LIU Lan
    2020, 20(1): 111-116. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (362KB) ( )  

    To obtain the family's mode choice behavior mechanism for children's school travel considering the introduction of the customized travel mode, the variables influencing children's school travel decision was selected systematically first, and the hybrid choice model (HCM) for children's school travel choice was then proposed based on the combination of structural equation model (SEM) and discrete choice model. A verification analysis was conducted by using Zhaotong, Yunnan province as a case area. The results show that: Compared with traditional modes of discrete choice model and SEM, the HCM model shows a higher fitting degree and is more suitable for the analysis of mode choice behavior of children's school travel; Taking car travel mode as a reference, the behavior intention plays a more significant role in parents' choice of customized school is behavior intention, the popularity of customized travel mode mostly depends on families' acceptance and reliance on it; Time and cost are not the primary factors influencing parents' choice of customized travel mode.

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    Wide-area Dynamic Traffic Route Guidance Method Based on Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction
    HAN Zhi, XU Chong-cong, HAN Song-qiao
    2020, 20(1): 117-123. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (439KB) ( )  

    In order to improve the efficiency of vehicle traffic, based on the predictive guidance strategy, this paper puts forward the queue length as the constraint condition of traffic guidance, uses the short- term traffic volume of wavelet neural network to predict the road section where the blocking event occurs, and then uses the time-space boundary conditions of wide area guidance to classify the nodes and define the length of the guidance period of the event road section, and then establishes the wide area guidance. Then, the event area road network is divided into districts to further determine the location of the guidance starting point of the model, and the Logit path selection model based on the path scale is introduced as the guidance path selection method. Finally, the load balance of the road network is realized by the iterative flow distribution method. Through the example, it is proved that the guidance method can effectively alleviate the road traffic congestion and improve the traffic efficiency of the road network.

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    Effect of Bus Stop Walking Time on Elderly's Bus Choice
    LIU Jian-rong, HAO Xiao-ni
    2020, 20(1): 124-129. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (329KB) ( )  

    Public transportation is an important way for the elderly to travel, and walking time to the station is an important part of the quality of public transport services. Taking walking time from the origin to the bus station, and based on the stated preference data, this paper analyzed the impact of walking time on the elderly's bus choice behavior with the random parameters Logit model. Through analysis, it was found that the random parameters Logit model fitting the data much better than the multinomial Logit model. The parameter of in-vehicle time was non- random, while the parameter of walking time was random. Furthermore, the elderly's demographic characteristics including gender, age, motorcar ownership, education, monthly income (greater than 3 000 yuan or not), had a significant impact on the parameter of walking time. So did the latent psychological factors, such as psychological factors towards physical activity, perceived physical functioning.

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    Structural Equation Model of Residential Satisfaction Considered Travel Environment
    ZHONG Yi-ying, SHAO Yi-ming, CHEN Jian
    2020, 20(1): 130-136. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (409KB) ( )  

    In order to solve the problem that the residential satisfaction lacked of quantitative coverage of the travel environment, factors influencing residential satisfaction were extracted from four dimensions, including travel environment, geographical location, community environment, housing conditions. The structural equation model of residential satisfaction was constructed, which included 5 latent variables and 21 measurement variables. The model is used to describe the influence and interaction between travel environment and residential satisfaction. The results show that travel environment, geographical location, community environment, and housing conditions have a significant positive impact on residential satisfaction. The geographic location has a significant positive impact on the travel environment. The total impact effect of each dimension show the decreasing trend of geographic location (0.913), travel environment (0.877), community environment (0.748), housing condition (0.532). However, travel environment has the largest direct impact on residential satisfaction, with a value of 0.887.

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    Travel Time Prediction Based on LSTM Neural Network in Precipitation
    WANG Zhi-jian, LI Da-biao, CUI Xia
    2020, 20(1): 137-144. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (460KB) ( )  

    The precipitation brings many uncertainties to calculation and prediction of travel time in urban road. This paper used GPS data of taxi as the research, considered the precipitation data and then designed a travel time calculation method based on non-minimum section. Meanwhile, we had established a travel time prediction model based on the LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) to verification the algorithm. Finally we used 10 days GPS data which is from taxi in zhongguancun west of Beijing to verify the method. The results show that the prediction results with rainfall characteristics are more accurate than those without. Compared with BP neural network and SVM witch are widely used, the algorithm and prediction model in our paper has higher training speed and prediction reliability under the premise of satisfying the accuracy.

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    OD Matrix Estimation Model of Urban Road Network Considering Population Benefit
    PEI Yu-long, GAOWei
    2020, 20(1): 145-151. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (577KB) ( )  

    Traffic distribution data is difficult to obtain and cost high, which is the main factor restrict traffic engineers to carry out traffic prediction. In order to improve the efficiency and reduce the forecasting cost in engineering practice, we studied the predictability of OD matrix in urban road network. In this paper, three kinds of traffic distribution models are described. Taking Guangzhou as an example, the probability distribution of traffic flow and the probability distribution of production are given. By means of regression analysis and residual analysis, the relationship among production, population and economy is explored. We proposed a target dual-factor model considering population benefits (called TDM model). The error analysis is used to verify the accuracy of the four models and then the TDM model is applied in Shenzhen. The results show that the probability distribution of traffic flow and the probability distribution of production are highly heterogeneous and follow Zipf 's law. There is a strong correlation among the production, population and economy, and goodness of fit test is 0.87. The accuracy of the TDM model is slightly lower than that of the gravity model, but higher than that of the other two models. In addition, the result of forecast in Shenzhen is good. Considering prediction accuracy, cost and efficiency, the TDM model is more suitable for predicting urban road traffic distribution.

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    Modeling and Solving for Lane Type Setting Problem in Highway Toll Station
    LIN Pei-qun, LIANG Yun-qi
    2020, 20(1): 152-159. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (451KB) ( )  

    The promotion of ETC services in China is accelerated this year. Firstly, a toll station lane type setting optimization model was put forward to minimize the total cost, which contains toll station operating cost and delay cost, combined with the queuing theory. Furthermore, a genetic algorithm with natural number encoding is proposed for model solving. Finally, lane type setting optimization programs in Guangzhou airport toll station were obtained under two different ETC usage rates during peak hours in the example, and VISSIM simulation software was used to compare the new programs with the original program. In addition, this paper also analyzes the vehicle arrival rules of the airport toll station throughout the day, and discusses the lane combination scheme under different vehicle arrival rates and ETC usage rates. The results show that the proposed method can effectively alleviate the congestion of toll stations and control the cost reasonably. It has guiding significance for the toll station lane alteration and toll collector scheduling.

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    Model and Cross Entropy Algorithm for Periodic Line Planning Problem of High-speed Trains
    FU Hui-ling, HU Huai-bin, WU Xin
    2020, 20(1): 160-165. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (378KB) ( )  

    Passengers between different stations in China's high- speed railway have obviously heterogeneous demand for trip time, frequency, direct or transfer service. A periodic line plan is required to use limited combination of train OD and stopping patterns in a short period (e.g. 1 h or 2 h) to meet diverse passenger demand. In this paper, an integer programming model is established. The train OD, stops, frequencies and compositions in a period are determined for classified trains which either stop at major stations or skip-stop a subset of stations. A high non-transfer rate is ensured, and heterogeneous passenger demand is satisfied. The model selects trains from a set of candidate lines generated according to specific rules, decides their frequencies, and minimizes the operation cost. A cross entropy algorithm is designed, the instance solutions and computation efficiency are compared with those of CPLEX software. Results show that the proposed algorithm is effective when the problem size is large, and service indicators of line plans perform well.

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    Path Optimization of Multi-trip Swap-body Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Window
    PENG Yong, GAO He
    2020, 20(1): 166-174. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (676KB) ( )  

    Aiming at the urban- suburban logistics distribution system, in order to reduce the logistics transportation cost and improve customer satisfaction as much as possible, the multi-trip Swap-body transportation problem with time window is studied. In this distribution system, the distribution vehicle carries goods to each customer point from the distribution center. Because of the limitation of road conditions, the customer points are divided into the customers who only allow the distribution of small trucks and the flexible point customers who can be distributed by the truck or the whole vehicle with Swap-body trailer. Under the constraint of customer time window and multi-trip, a path optimization model based on switching body is established, which takes the minimum cost as the optimization goal, and a heuristic algorithm based on the mixture of packing algorithm and genetic algorithm is proposed. An example is given to verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, and to provide some decision guidance and reference for the logistics distribution of the trailer with Swap-body.

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    Continuous Berth Scheduling and Cargo Yard Allocation in General Cargo Terminal
    LI Jun, LIU Zhi-xiong, ZHANG Yu
    2020, 20(1): 175-182. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (434KB) ( )  

    The complexity of loading and reloading operation of the general cargo makes the terminal's operational organization more complex than the container terminal. The two-stage hierarchical solving method is adopted for the continuous berth scheduling and cargo yard allocation in the general cargo terminal. At the first stage, the berth scheduling model is proposed with the minimization of the horizontal transportation turnover volume while considering the berth grade, the tidal dynamic and the cargo's horizontal transportation distance. At the second stage, considering the operational quantity balances between different operation lines, the cargo yard allocation model is presented with the minimization of the operating lines' makespan for reducing the vessels' operation time in port. The solution methods for the proposed models are designed. Two different scheduling strategies are presented for determining the vessels' entering sequences. The effectiveness of method is verified and the two different strategies' scheduling results are analyzed comparatively through the experimental results.

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    Dangerous Driving Behavior Clustering Analysis for Hazardous Materials Transportation Based on Data Mining
    WANG Hai-xing,WANG Xiang-yu,WANG Zhao-xian, LI Xue-dong
    2020, 20(1): 183-189. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (457KB) ( )  

    In the process of hazardous materials transportation, bad driving behaviors such as too high speed and too fast speed change affect the stability of hazardous materials and vehicles, resulting in frequent accidents of hazardous materials transportation with serious consequences. In this paper 8 indicators for driving behavior evaluation were selected for quantitative analysis based on the massive data of the operating vehicle networked control system. Then by combining factor analysis and FCM algorithm, the risk driving behavior of the drivers of hazardous materials transport vehicles can be clustered scientifically. The results show that the driving behaviors of hazardous materials transport vehicles can be divided into three categories: acceleration & deceleration, speeding and variable speed driving,and the classification of the driver's safety level is achieved under each driving behavior. Therefore, it can identify the drivers with higher risks, which is of great reference significance to the transportation enterprises and industrial management departments of hazardous materials.

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    An AGV Control Algorithm in Automated Terminal Based on Ant-agent
    LAN Pei-zhen, CHEN Jin-wen, CAO Shi-lian
    2020, 20(1): 190-197. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (505KB) ( )  

    In order to solve the problem of automated guided vehicle (AGV) path conflict and road deadlock in the automated terminal horizontal transportation area, improving transportation efficiency, AGV is treated as Antagent, carrying the pheromone with negative feedback mechanism into the transportation network. A new state transition rule is established on the basis of the congestion and its threshold q . A solution mechanism for node conflicts and path congestion is constructed. As a result, the AGV control algorithm based on Ant- agent is proposed. The optimal parameter combination of the algorithm is determined through the method of two- stage uniform design test. Simulation result indicates that compared with traditional dynamic path planning algorithms, the collision avoidance performance, unlocking performance and transportation efficiency of the algorithm are greatly improved. It can effectively solve AGV path conflicts and deadlocks, as well as improve transportation efficiency.

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    Flight Operation Risk Propagation Based on Complex Network
    WANG Yan-tao, LIU Yu
    2020, 20(1): 198-205. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (508KB) ( )  

    In order to study the flight operations risk propagation mechanism, based on the civil aviation flight operation procedures, at first, the flight data and the working performances of airlines, airports, crew, aircraft and air traffic control were collected as research samples. Then, the experience network construction method and phasespace of time series reconstruction method and the Spearman correlation coefficient method were used to construct a complex network for flight operation risk propagation problems. After the calculation of the characteristic parameters, it was confirmed that the Spearman correlation coefficient method had built the network with best effect. After that, corresponding to the civil aviation common control methods, the concept of importance value r , improved infection rate β′ and improved recovery rate γ′ were introduced. An improved SIR model suitable for flight operation was proposed. Finally, the dynamic analysis of risk network propagation was carried out. The calculation results show that when the importance degree value equals 0.4, the peak value of the infection node density curve decreases by 10%, and the peak time is delayed by 5%. When the improved recovery rate is 0.9, the peak of the infected node is reduced by 6%. It is confirmed that adding the importance value and the improved recovery rate can effectively control risk networks spread. It shows that the identification and control to risk network key nodes, the improvement for the risk nodes recovery rate and speed, these can effectively improve the flight security.

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    Passenger Boarding Model and Dynamic Boarding Strategy Based on Time Threshold
    REN Xin-hui, JIAO Yang, XU Xiao-bing
    2020, 20(1): 206-213. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (529KB) ( )  

    The reduction in boarding time can improve the passenger experience and airline operating efficiency. Therefore, it is especially important to optimize the boarding strategy based on passenger behavior. Based on the delay time in two-stage of passenger boarding airplane, this paper establishes a new boarding model considering time threshold. On the basis of the distribution of the interference time threshold, the carried baggage is assigned by the optimization algorithm, so that the boarding time is minimized. Further, a dynamic passenger boarding strategy based on different baggage distribution is obtained. The efficiency of dynamic boarding strategy is compared by cellular automaton simulation and field simulation experiments. The results show that the new boarding model can accurately reflect the boarding process; the Steffen order has the largest interference time threshold and optimization space; and dynamic boarding strategy proposed in this paper can reduce boarding time and significantly increase boarding efficiency.

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    Collaborative Schedule of General Aviation Resource Based on Multi-Agent
    ZHANG Hong-ying, ZHOU Zi-lin, LI Biao
    2020, 20(1): 214-221. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (536KB) ( )  

    Aiming at the low efficiency of resource scheduling in the condition of parallel tasks, a collaborative schedule method based on multi-Agent negotiation is proposed for general aviation. Firstly, the collaborative scheduling framework is established, and the matching model based on bidding mechanism is created to improve the processing ability of parallel tasks. Then the scheduling strategy is designed refer to the matching result. Finally, the actual data is applied to verify the effectiveness of the method. The simulation results demonstrate that the method is hardly affected by the number of parallel tasks, and the calculating time can meet requirements. Compared with the results obtained by Agent algorithms, the average daily utilization rate of single plane increases 0.19 h/d, the average variance is reduced by 0.03 h, which proves that the method can effectively schedule resources in a fast rate.

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    Cases Analysis
    Speed Limit in Curving Sections of Highway Based on Roadside Accidents Discriminant Analysis
    CHENG Guo-zhu, CHENG Rui, XU Liang
    2020, 20(1): 222-227. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (349KB) ( )  

    Speed is the key factor that leads to frequent roadside accidents in curving sections of highway. In order to reduce the roadside accidents occurrence, the research on speed limit is essential. In this paper, 8 roadside accidents risk indicators were selected for PC-crash simulation test, and a total of 12 800 data was collected. Path analysis was adopted to screen and obtain significant risk indicators. By incorporating the above significance risk indicators into Bayesian stepwise discriminant analysis, the roadside accidents discriminant functions corresponding to different vehicle types were constructed. Finally, the calculation models of maximum safe vehicle speed corresponding to different road geometric design characteristics were proposed. The study results show that: The significant risk indicators have the following order of influence on roadside accidents, such as vehicle speed, horizontal radius, vehicle type, adhesion coefficient, shoulder width, longitudinal slope and superelevation slope; The better the alignment condition of the road, the greater the maximum safe speed limit to ensure no occurrence of roadside accidents; Under the same road design condition, the maximum speed limit value of car is larger than that of truck.

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    Empirical Analysis of Choice Behavior for Shared Autonomous Vehicles with Concern of Ride-sharing
    YAO Rong-han, LIANG Ya-lin, LIU Kai, ZHAO Sheng-chuan, YANG Lan
    2020, 20(1): 228-233. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (318KB) ( )  

    Shared autonomous vehicles (SAV) are the products of combining autonomous vehicles with shared economy and could provide a new travel mode for people. To explore travelers' choice preferences between SAV with the concern of ride- sharing and private car or public transit, the SAV choice preference survey was implemented, and the potential user characteristics for SAV with the concern of ride-sharing were analyzed. Based on the valid data obtained from the survey, the K-Means clustering method was used to classify historical travel modes, and the characteristics of character and attitude were classified using the factor analysis. In addition, two mixed Logit models in which the parameters of the explanatory variables were subject to different distributions were established for people with and without private cars, respectively, and the results of parameter calibration were compared and analyzed. The research results show that the characteristics of travel modes have extremely significant effects on travelers' mode choice behaviors; the characteristics of character and attitude are significant factors which affect travelers' choice for SAV with the concern of ride-sharing, and their significance is obviously higher than the significance of socio-economic attributes, such as gender, age and so on.

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    Construction and Application of Transit Commuting Entropy Change Model Based on Smart Card Data
    LI Jun, ZHENG Pei-qing
    2020, 20(1): 234-240. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (509KB) ( )  

    The framework to calculate the entropy change of excess commuting utilizing the transit smart card data is proposed, so that the level of the difficulty of reducing the average transit commuting distance can be identified. Firstly, the transit entropy change model was proposed for transit by combining the Wilson entropy model and the doubly constrained gravity model; then a case study utilizing the smart card data of Guangzhou was presented, and the process of commuting screening, the influence of the unit problem based on the Thiessen polygon method and the applications of entropy change of excess commuting were discussed in details. It is found that the grid division of about 1 km × 1 km is suitable for the proposed model for urban transit analysis, and the entropy change can be used to measure the level of difficulty of reducing the average commuting distance and to verify the effectiveness of the policies to change commuting behavior in urban transit.

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    Dominant Trip Distance of Urban External Passenger Transport Mode Based on Big Data of Migration
    XIANG Yun, XU Cheng-cheng, YUWei-jie, HUA Xue-dong,WANGWei
    2020, 20(1): 241-246. 
    Abstract ( )   PDF (335KB) ( )  

    In order to improve the efficiency of multi-modal coordinated operation and optimize the resource allocation of passenger transport in China's urban external transport, this study proposed a method to quantitatively analyze the dominant trip distance of passenger traffic modes in urban external transport based on big data of population migration. Firstly, absolute dominant trip distance and relative dominant trip distance were proposed to define dominant trip distance. Then two types of the dominant trip distance model for urban external passenger transport mode were developed respectively. Finally, using the big data of population migration, the passenger transport mode share curve based on trip distance was drawn, and the dominant trip distance model was solved. The results show that in recent years, the absolute dominant trip distances of highway, railway and airway passenger transport modes are [8, 119] km、[119, 1 594] km and [1 594, 3 000] km respectively, while the relative dominant trip distances are [8, 463] km、[318, 983] km and [2 477, 3 000] km respectively.

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