交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2017, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (1): 14-19.

• 决策论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于粗糙集的铁路工程项目投标决策方法研究

卢睿1,李学伟1,陈雍君*2   

  1. 1. 北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京100044;2. 北京建筑大学经济与管理工程学院,北京100044
  • 收稿日期:2016-04-22 修回日期:2016-05-21 出版日期:2017-02-25 发布日期:2017-02-27
  • 作者简介:卢睿(1983-),男,河北蠡县人,博士生

Rough Set Bidding Decision Method for Railway Construction Project

LU Rui, LI Xue-wei, CHEN Yong-jun   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China;2. School of Economics and Management Engineering, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Beijing 100044, China
  • Received:2016-04-22 Revised:2016-05-21 Online:2017-02-25 Published:2017-02-27

摘要:

铁建企业项目具有规模大、周期长、技术性强等特征,使工程投标项目评估更 复杂、决策难度更大.本文将盈利与竞争力提升作为铁路建筑企业项目投标决策的直接影 响因素,提出了基于波士顿矩阵原理的项目分类策略,从项目因素、环境因素、自身因素 和业主因素等4 个方面出发构建了项目类别判定的粗糙集模型,并利用SVM(支持向量 机)对已建立的粗糙集模型进行改进,证明改进模型的计算结果更加准确.根据模型分析 结果对项目投标提出了若干有意义的建议,为铁路建筑企业项目投标决策提供参考.

关键词: 系统工程, 铁路建筑企业, 投标决策, 粗糙集, 波士顿矩阵, 支持向量机

Abstract:

The projects that railway construction enterprise bid are usually in large scale, long duration, and technically challenging. Decision making process for project bidding is complicated and difficult. In this paper, profit and competitiveness upgrade are considered as two direct influencing factors in railway construction enterprise’s bidding decision making. Based on the principle of Boston matrix for project classification strategy, four perspectives are used to support bidding decision making in this paper: project description, environment impact, internal process and owner’s characteristic. Rough set model is employed to classify the project based on the four aspects. Support Vector Machine (SVM) is used to improve the rough set model. Case study results show that the SVM based rough set model has a better accuracy in classification. The proposed method would serve as a project selector for bidding. It would also make recommendations for railway construction enterprise.

Key words: systems engineering, railway construction enterprises, bidding decision, rough set, Boston matrix, Support Vector Machine

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