Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology ›› 2002, Vol. 2 ›› Issue (3): 36-39 .

• Systems Engineering Theory and Methods • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Application of Econometric Models in Traffic Forecast
of Tenth "Five-Year" Plan of Sichuan Province

HU Ying-jie 1, XUE B02   

  1. 1.College of Traffic & Transportation, Southwest Jitaotong University, Chengdu 610031,China;
    2.School of Economics & Management, Southwest Jitaotong University, Chengdu 610031
  • Received:2002-05-12 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2002-08-01 Published:2002-08-01

计量模型在“十五”四川省
交通运输量预测中的应用

胡英婕1,薛 波2   

  1. 1.西南交通大学交通运输学院,四川 成都 610031;

    2.西南交通大学经济管理学院,四川 成都 610031

Abstract: Based on significance of scientific forecast of communications and transportation, this paper analyses and uses econometric models to forecast the volume of traffic of the tenth "Five-Year" Layout of Sichuan Province, and presents general confirmation flow of models.

Key words: forecast, GDP, population, regression analysis

摘要: 在阐述科学预测交通运输量的意义的基础上,利用计量经济模型对四川省的“十五”交通运输量进行了预测,并给出了一般性的模型检验流程.

关键词: 预测, GDP, 人口, 回归分析