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Traffic State Recognition Based on Speed Fluctuation
Characteristics of Floating Car
CHENG Wei, HUANG Jin-tao, CHEN Yu-guang, GUO Yan-yong, YU Hao
2023, 23(1):
67-76.
DOI: 10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2023.01.008
To realize the accurate identification of the road traffic state and solve the problem that the single parameter
cannot directly identify the road traffic state, this paper uses the high-frequency floating vehicle speed characteristic
data and the gray co- occurrence matrix eigenvalue contrast and inverse variance to represent the fluctuation
characteristics of vehicle driving. Based on the dynamic and continuous changes of urban road traffic state, the average
speed, contrast, and inverse variance of vehicles in a fixed time window are analyzed using the Fuzzy c-means (FCM)
algorithm, and four state thresholds are obtained: free, smooth, crowded and blocked. A traffic state recognition method
is proposed based on a multi-dimensional Gaussian Hidden Markov model. The model is trained with fixed-time
Windows of 3 min, 5 min, and 6 min respectively. The state transition matrix of the model shows that the smaller the
time window is, it is more likely to keep the original traffic state, and the larger the time window, it is more likely to
change the traffic state. Using different sequence lengths to compare the recognition accuracy of the three-time
Windows in the test set, the results show that the accuracy increases first and then decreases with the change of
sequence length, and the larger the fixed time window, the more uniform the change of recognition accuracy of
different sequence lengths. At last, the 5 min fixed time window was used to partition the data, and the proposed
method, support vector machine, and random forest were used to identify the road traffic state, and the comprehensive
accuracy was respectively 92%, 84.89% and 88.48%. By comparing the precision, recall, and F1 measurement of each
state, the proposed method is better than other two models, which indicates that the fluctuation characteristics of road speed can well reflect the road traffic state, and the multi-dimensional Gaussian Hidden Markov model has a good
effect on the recognition of road traffic state.
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