考虑东北海陆大通道的中欧多式联运路径选择研究

doi:10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2025.03.004

交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2025, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (3): 32-43.DOI: 10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2025.03.004

考虑东北海陆大通道的中欧多式联运路径选择研究

郭姝娟^*，许骁，刘智，董彦鹭，华梦颖，彭康真

大连海事大学，交通运输工程学院，辽宁大连116026

收稿日期:2024-12-28 修回日期:2025-02-27 接受日期:2025-03-05 出版日期:2025-06-25 发布日期:2025-06-19
作者简介:郭姝娟(1983—)，女，辽宁营口人，副教授，博士。
基金资助:
辽宁省社会科学规划基金重点项目(L22AGL004)。

Route Choice of China-Europe Intermodal Transport Considering Northeast China Sea-Land Transport Corridor

GUO Shujuan^*, XU Xiao, LIU Zhi, DONG Yanlu, HUA Mengying, PENG Kangzhen

College of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Liaoning, China

Received:2024-12-28 Revised:2025-02-27 Accepted:2025-03-05 Online:2025-06-25 Published:2025-06-19
Supported by:
Social Science Planning Found of Liaoning Province Key Program(L22AGL004)。

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 东北海陆大通道是新型的国际海陆联运通道，是海运干线和中欧班列铁路干线相结合的新型多式联运通道。本文考虑东北海陆大通道，研究多式联运经营人中欧集装箱多式联运路径选择问题。首先，考虑地区冲突事件引起的中欧间多式联运运输风险，从一般风险和地区冲突风险两个角度构建多式联运风险指标评价体系，引入风险发生概率和风险严重性等级量化多式联运运输风险；其次，构建一个以运输总成本和运输风险最小的中欧集装箱多式联运路径选择多目标模型，设计基于拓扑排序路径染色体编码的带精英策略的快速非支配排序遗传算法(NSGA-II)，求解满足多式联运经营人要求的帕累托多式联运路径选择方案；最后，依据地区冲突所处的不同阶段及其影响范围设置3种风险场景进行数值实验。结果表明，东北海陆大通道相较于传统通道在复杂多变的风险环境中展现出显著优势，对于高附加值时间敏感和时间不敏感货物均具有较强的竞争力；对高附加值时间敏感性货物的运到期限灵敏度分析可以得出，东北海陆大通道的竞争力随运到期限延长呈现先增后稳的趋势，对于运到期限要求在中等范围以内的货物，具有较强的竞争力。

关键词: 综合运输, 路径选择, 快速非支配排序遗传算法, 东北海陆大通道, 运输风险

Abstract: The Northeast China Sea-Land Transport Corridor emerges as a novel international intermodal transport route, seamlessly integrating maritime and China Railway Express railway systems. This paper addresses the intermodal route choice problem for intermodal transport operators between China and Europe, specifically focusing on the Northeast China Sea-Land Transport Corridor. First, accounting for intermodal transport risks stemming from regional conflict events, an evaluation framework for intermodal transport risk indicators is developed from the perspectives of general risk and regional conflict risk. It incorporates the probability of risk occurrence and the severity level of risks. A multi-objective model for the intermodal transport route choice of China-Europe containers is constructed, aiming to minimize both total transport costs and transport risks. A NSGA II algorithm, based on topological sorting path chromosome coding, is devised to identify Pareto-optimal intermodal transport route choice schemes that align with the requirements of intermodal transport operators. Ultimately, three risk scenarios were established for numerical experiments based on the different stages of the regional conflict and its scope of influence. The findings indicate that the Northeast China Sea-Land Transport Corridor outperforms traditional corridors in complex and dynamic risk environments, demonstrating competitiveness for both high-value, time-sensitive, and time-insensitive cargoes. The competitiveness of Northeast China Sea-Land Transport Corridor increases and then stabilizes as the delivery time limit extends. It demonstrates strong competitiveness for goods with delivery time requirements within the medium range.

Key words: integrated transportation, route selection, non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II, Northeast Sea-Land Corridor; transportation risk

中图分类号:

U116.2

郭姝娟, 许骁, 刘智, 董彦鹭, 华梦颖, 彭康真. 考虑东北海陆大通道的中欧多式联运路径选择研究[J]. 交通运输系统工程与信息, 2025, 25(3): 32-43.

GUO Shujuan, XU Xiao, LIU Zhi, DONG Yanlu, HUA Mengying, PENG Kangzhen. Route Choice of China-Europe Intermodal Transport Considering Northeast China Sea-Land Transport Corridor[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2025, 25(3): 32-43.

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链接本文: http://www.tseit.org.cn/CN/10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2025.03.004

http://www.tseit.org.cn/CN/Y2025/V25/I3/32

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考虑东北海陆大通道的中欧多式联运路径选择研究

Route Choice of China-Europe Intermodal Transport Considering Northeast China Sea-Land Transport Corridor

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