交通运输系统工程与信息

交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2020, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (4): 1-6.

• 决策论坛 •    下一篇

弹性停车激励机制下驾车者竞价行为演化机理研究

高良鹏1,2，季彦婕*2，汤斗南3，张水潮4   

  1. 1. 福建工程学院 交通运输学院，福州 350118；2.东南大学 交通学院，南京 210089；3.加州大学伯克利分校 市政环境工程系，加利福尼亚州 94710，美国；4. 宁波工程学院 建筑与交通工程学院，浙江 宁波 315211
  • 收稿日期:2019-11-21 修回日期:2020-03-01 出版日期:2020-08-25 发布日期:2020-08-25
  • 作者简介:高良鹏(1988-)，男，福建漳州人，副教授，博士.
  • 基金资助:

    浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题/Philosophy and Social Science Program of Zhejiang Province, China (19NDJC119YB)；国家重点研发计划/National Key Research and Development Program of China(2018YFB1600900)；福建工程学院科研启动基金/Scientific Research Foundation of Fujian University of Technology (GY-Z19094).

Evolution Mechanism of Drivers' Bidding Behavior under Flexible Parking Incentive Mechanism

GAO Liang-peng1,2, JI Yan-jie2, TANG Dou-nan3, ZHANG Shui-chao4   

  1. 1. School of Transportation, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China; 2. School of Transportation,Southeast University, Nanjing 210089, China; 3. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering,UC Berkeley, California 94710, USA; 4. School of Civil and Transportation Engineering, Ningbo University of Technology, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang, China
  • Received:2019-11-21 Revised:2020-03-01 Online:2020-08-25 Published:2020-08-25

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摘要：

在获取通勤驾车者个体活动出行轨迹及停车竞价数据的基础上，构建基于生存分析理论的驾车者竞价行为演化模型，解析不同因素对停车竞价行为的影响机理；应用灵敏度分析方法，研究激励方案及职住区位设施供给对竞价持续时长的作用规律.结果表明：弹性停车激励机制使原本为“耐用品”的停车泊位转变为“消耗品”，可以通过竞价激励方式降低驾车者的小汽车依赖性，提高城市停车泊位利用率；在弹性停车激励机制作用下，驾车者的泊位共享积极性不仅受自身社会经济属性影响，还受职住区位特征及竞价激励方案的影响；随着通勤驾车者停车泊位共享积极性的增强，参与停车竞价的次数越多，竞价行为的持续时间越长.

关键词: 城市交通, 弹性停车激励机制, 生存分析理论, 共享停车, 停车竞价行为

Abstract:

This study proposed an evolutionary model describing drivers' bidding behavior based on survival analysis theory, commuting drivers' individual activities, and parking bidding data. The impact of different factors on parking bidding behaviors was analyzed, and the impacts of incentive scheme, facilities supply of jobs and residential locations on the bidding duration were analyzed by sensitivity analysis method. The results indicate that: (1) the application of flexible parking incentive mechanism was able to transform the parking spaces as “consumable goods”from the“durable goods”. It reduced drivers' dependence on cars and improved the utilization of urban parking spaces through bidding and incentives. (2) Because of the flexible parking incentive mechanism, drivers' preferences on shared parking is not only affected by their social and economic background, but by the characteristics of occupational and residential areas and the setting of incentive schemes. (3) When more commuting drivers prefer to use share parking spaces, the duration of bidding behaviors would increase with the increase of times participate in parking bidding

Key words: urban traffic, flexible parking incentive mechanism, survival analysis theory, shared parking, bidding behavior of parking

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