交通运输系统工程与信息

交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2006, Vol. 6 ›› Issue (6): 125-129 .

• 综合交通体系论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

石家庄一太原客运专线的竞争能力研究

孙全欣，胡思继   

  1. 北京交通大学 交通运输学院，北京100044
  • 收稿日期:2006-10-30 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2006-12-20 发布日期:2006-12-20

The Competition Research about Shijiazhuang—Taiyuan Passenger Dedicated Line

SUN Quan-xin，HU Si-ji   

  1. School of Traffic and Transportation，Bei Jing JiaoTong University，BeiJing 100044，China
  • Received:2006-10-30 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-12-20 Published:2006-12-20

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被引次数

15

摘要： 石太客运专线是我国铁路快速客运网的骨架之一，亦是铁路网“八纵八横”主通道的重要组成部分。本文通过对石太客运通道旅客进行大量问卷调查的基础上，根据通道的实际情况，引入了旅客交通方式选择行为的效用函数，对传统的Logit模型进行改进，构建了石太客运通道中客运专线和高速公路的竞争模型，对通道两种最主要交通方式的市场竞争能力进行分析。最后，以高速公路旅行速度和票价为主要扰动变量，分析高速公路服务水平变化，对石太客运专线竞争能力的影响。结论对提高石太客运专线运营管理水平，合理制定运输组织方案，具有重要的参考价值。

关键词: 客运专线, 效用函数, 敏感性, 模型

Abstract: Shijiazhuang—Taiyuan passenger dedicated line is important framework of high speed railways net，and is also importance passenger transportation passage in our country．On the basis of a large amount of questionnaire survey, This paper introduces utility function about choosing behavior of passenger，and has a improve for the traditional Logit model．through constructing a highway and passenger dedicated line competition model，this paper analysis the competition of Shijiazhuang—Taiyuan passenger dedicated line．Regarding speed and fare as the main perturbation variable，this paper do a sensitivity analysis about the competition of Shijiazhuang—Taiyuan passenger dedicated line．The conclusion has important reference value to promote management level and make transport scheme of Shijiazhuang—Taiyuan passenger dedicated line．

Key words: passenger dedicated line, utility function, sensitivity, model