托运人在不同时空下的选择行为差异揭示

交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2020, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (1): 27-32.

• 综合交通运输体系论坛 • 上一篇下一篇

托运人在不同时空下的选择行为差异揭示

诸立超^*1，刘昭然²

1. 浙江财经大学工商管理学院，杭州 310018；2. 中国宏观经济研究院综合运输研究所北京 100038

收稿日期:2019-09-03 修回日期:2019-11-03 出版日期:2020-02-25 发布日期:2020-03-02
作者简介:诸立超(1989-)，男，浙江杭州人，讲师，博士.

Revealing Difference of Shippers' Choice Behavior under Different Spatio-temporal Conditions

ZHU Li-chao¹, LIU Zhao-ran²

1. School of Business Administration, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou 310018, China; 2. Institute of Comprehensive Transportation, Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research, Beijing 100038, China

Received:2019-09-03 Revised:2019-11-03 Online:2020-02-25 Published:2020-03-02

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

某一因素对托运人选择行为的影响会随着空间和时间变化. 既有研究多关注特定空间或时间的托运人选择行为，较少进行横向(空间)和纵向(时间)比较. 为探索托运人选择行为差异及变化规律，采集不同时空的5 个数据集，构建多类线性或非线性效用函数的多项 Logit 模型及混合Logit 模型. 结果表明：在空间维度，某一地区托运人选择行为与其他地区显著不同；在时间维度，伴随货运业快速发展，货运方式选择模型适用年限呈缩短趋势.

关键词: 综合交通运输, 货运建模, 方式选择, 行为差异, 时间价值

Abstract:

The influence of a factor on shippers' choice behavior changes with space and time. However, most existing studies pay attention to shippers' choice behavior in specific space or period, with less focus on the horizontal (space) and vertical (time) comparison. To explore behavioral difference and shippers' choice change, five datasets of different space and time are collected, and several multinomial Logit models and mixed Logit models with linear or non-linear utility function are constructed. Results show that, from the perspective of space, choice behavior of shippers from one region is significantly different from that of shippers from other regions; from the perspective of time, with the rapid development of freight industry, the service life of freight mode choice model has a shortened trend.

Key words: integrated transportation, freight modelling, modal choice, behavioral difference, value of time

中图分类号:

诸立超，刘昭然. 托运人在不同时空下的选择行为差异揭示[J]. 交通运输系统工程与信息, 2020, 20(1): 27-32.

ZHU Li-chao, LIU Zhao-ran. Revealing Difference of Shippers' Choice Behavior under Different Spatio-temporal Conditions[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2020, 20(1): 27-32.

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链接本文: http://www.tseit.org.cn/CN/abstract/abstract19971.shtml

http://www.tseit.org.cn/CN/Y2020/V20/I1/27

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托运人在不同时空下的选择行为差异揭示

Revealing Difference of Shippers' Choice Behavior under Different Spatio-temporal Conditions

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