交通运输系统工程与信息

交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2019, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (2): 22-29.

• 综合交通运输体系论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

社交网络交通信息对出行方式选择行为影响模型

傅志妍*1，赵翰林 2，陈坚 3，于敏 3   

  1. 1. 重庆第二师范学院 经济与工商管理学院，重庆 400067；2. 重庆城市交通研究院有限责任公司，重庆 401121；3. 重庆交通大学 交通运输学院，重庆 400074
  • 收稿日期:2018-10-17 修回日期:2018-12-19 出版日期:2019-04-25 发布日期:2019-04-25
  • 作者简介:傅志妍(1984-)，女，山西太原人，讲师.
  • 基金资助:

    国家社会科学基金西部项目/National Social Science Foundation of China(17XGL009).

Influence Model of Social Network Traffic Information on the Travel Mode Choice Behavior

FU Zhi-yan1, ZHAO Han-lin2, CHEN Jian3, YU Min3   

  1. 1. College of Economics & Business Administration, Chongqing University of Education, Chongqing 400067, China; 2. Chongqing City Communication Research Institute Co., Ltc, Chongqing 401121, China; 3. College of Traffic and Transportation, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China
  • Received:2018-10-17 Revised:2018-12-19 Online:2019-04-25 Published:2019-04-25

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摘要：

为解决社交网络交通信息对出行方式选择行为影响缺少定量描述方法的问题，基于技术接受理论，提出感知有用性、感知易用性、感知风险性等 7个潜变量作为出行者对社交网络交通信息的心理感受变量.结合个人属性变量、出行方案属性变量共同构建融合社交网络交通信息影响的出行方式选择行为混合离散模型，运用重庆市问卷调查数据进行实证分析.结果表明，混合模型优度比提升了 0.171，同时，心理感受变量中感知风险性对选择结果有负向影响，其余变量对选择结果均为正向影响，而感知有用性(0.757)、主观规范(0.646)、感知信任 (0.502)对结果影响最大.

关键词: 城市交通, 选择行为, 社交网络, 潜变量, 混合模型

Abstract:

This study mainly deals with the problem of quantitatively measuring the influence of social network traffic information on travel mode choice behavior. According to the Technology Acceptance Model, 7 latent variables, including perceived usefulness, perceived usability, perceived risk etc., are proposed as the perceived variables of travelers on social network traffic information. A hybrid discrete travel mode choice model is constructed by combining personal attribute variables and travel plan variables with social network traffic information. The empirical analysis is conducted using the questionnaire of Chongqing city in China. The results from the hybrid model show an improvement of 0.171 in goodness of fit. The variable of perceived risk shows negative effect on the travel mode choice, while the other variables show positive effect. The three variables of perceived usefulness, subjective norm, and perceived trust show the most significant effect on the selection, of which the coefficients are 0.757, 0.646 and 0.502 respectively.

Key words: urban traffic, choice behavior, social network, latent variable, hybrid model

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